Finance

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Rate Cuts and Falling Dollar Will Fuel Inflation

Interest rate cuts and the falling dollar will fuel inflation that is already above the Federal Reserve target – which may not just end the easing cycle early, it might spur a tightening cycle that no one is currently expecting. Core CPI, which rose to 3.1% year-on-year in July, is substantially higher than the central …

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Goldman Sachs Raises Brent Second-Half 2025 Price Forecast by $5 to $66 a Barrel

(Reuters) – Goldman Sachs on Monday raised its Brent oil price forecast for the second half of 2025 by $5 to $66 per barrel due to supply disruption risks, lower stocks in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries and rising concerns about Russia’s production constraints. The bank also increased its forecast for U.S. West …

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US Natgas Prices Fall 4% to Six-Week Low on Low Cash Prices, Ample Stockpiles

(Reuters) – U.S. natural gas futures fell about 4% to a six-week low on Wednesday on low cash prices, an increase in output so far this month and higher-than-normal amounts of gas in storage. That price decline occurred despite a drop in gas output in recent days and forecasts for the weather to remain hotter …

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World Shares Hover Near Record Highs as US-Canada Trade Talks Revived

World shares held just below recent record highs on Monday as the revival of U.S./Canada trade talks helped risk sentiment, while the dollar dipped on the prospect of this week’s U.S. jobs data ushering in an earlier Fed rate cut. Canada on Sunday said it had rescinded its digital services tax in a bid to …

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Hawkish Fed Could Inflict Markets’ Biggest ‘Pain Trades’: McGeever

By Jamie Mcgeever (Reuters) – As the first half of the year closes, financial markets are in limbo, waiting to see how the kaleidoscope of global trade deals will – or won’t – come together after July 9, when Washington’s pause on its “reciprocal tariffs” expires. But if investors are wrong-footed, which trades will be …

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Oil Price Surge Sparks Burst of Hedging Among Shale Drillers

By Lucia Kassai and David Marino The surge in oil futures spurred by the initial missile attacks in the Middle East last week triggered a wave of hedging by producers seeking to lock in the higher prices, keeping some traders up late into the night. AEGIS Hedging Solutions LLC, a Woodlands, Texas-based firm that helps …

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How Sparsely Populated Norway Amassed $1.8 Trillion

By Heidi Taksdal Skjeseth An offshore oil drilling platform in Norway. Photographer: Carina Johansen/Bloomberg Of all the world’s sovereign wealth funds, Norway’s is one of the most unusual. These giant, state-linked investment vehicles tend to pick and choose what assets they hold to manage risk, maximize returns and further national strategic interests. Not so with …

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Goldman Urges Investors to Buy Gold and Oil as Long-Term Hedges

By Sybilla Gross and Yongchang Chin Goldman Sachs Group Inc. touted gold and oil as hedges against inflation in long-term portfolios, citing the appeal of bullion as a haven amid concerns over US institutional credibility and crude’s ability to protect against supply shocks. Analysts including Daan Struyven said investors with so-called 60/40 portfolios — an …

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MARKETS REACT: Markets Hope Trump Tariffs Stay ‘Unlawful’

Who knew the three judges at the rather obscure United States Court of International Trade had the power to spark a rally in global stock markets and shove the dollar higher against its safe-haven peers? Early in the Asian trading day, news broke the court had declared President Donald Trump’s April 2 tariffs to be …

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