Forecasts

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Banks Hike Oil Price Forecasts on Prolonged Gulf Disruptions

(Reuters) – Banks including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Commerzbank raised their Brent price forecasts this week, as persistent disruptions to Middle East shipping tightened oil markets and drove crude prices to multi-week highs. Commerzbank on Friday raised its year-end Brent oil price forecast to $85 per barrel from its previous forecast of $75/bbl. …

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US Crude Oil Output Fell in May, While Exports Hit Record, EIA Says

(Reuters) – U.S. crude oil output fell about 2% in May from a record in April, while exports hit a record high for the second-consecutive month, according to data published by the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Friday. Crude oil production in May averaged 13.71 million barrels per day, whereas exports rose to 5.73 million …

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Oil Prices Settle at Lowest in Over a Week, as US Pauses Attacks on Iran

Trump pauses attacks to allow more time for diplomacy, US ambassador says Trump threatens strong military action if talks with Iran fail Strait of Hormuz traffic stays low despite pause in conflict Kazakhstan’s daily oil output halves after exporting terminal closure, source says NEW YORK, July 27 (Reuters) – Oil prices fell on Monday, settling …

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Goldman Sachs Maintains Brent Forecast of $80/barrel for Fourth Quarter of 2026

(Reuters) – Goldman Sachs maintained on Thursday its Brent crude forecast of $80/barrel for the fourth quarter of 2026, saying lower Middle East supply should support prices if tensions between the United States and Iran ease by year-end. The investment bank said its forecast reflects price support from lower Middle East output in the second …

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UBS Cuts Brent Crude Price Forecasts on Improved Hormuz Oil Flows

  UBS, on Thursday, cut its Brent crude price forecast by $25 for the September quarter to about $80 a barrel, on average, and now expects prices to hold the quarter after, citing the rise in oil flows via the Strait of Hormuz after the recent U.S.-Iran agreement. The bank also lowered its 2027 average …

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Barclays Cuts Brent Price Forecasts for 2026 and 2027

(Reuters) – Barclays on Friday cut its Brent crude price forecasts to $96 per barrel for 2026 and $85 per barrel for 2027, down from $100 and $88 respectively, after an increase in oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Crude prices were on course for weekly losses, as more oil tankers exited the strait, …

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UBS Cuts Brent Forecasts But Says Output Recovery May Lag Market Expectations

(Reuters) – UBS on Thursday cut its Brent crude forecasts to $85 a barrel for end-September and end-December, from $105 and $95 respectively, and said a recovery in oil production from the Iran war was likely to be slower than the market expects. An interim deal last week to end the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, …

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JP Morgan Lowers Brent Crude Price Forecast for Second-Half 2026

(Reuters) – J.P. Morgan on Wednesday lowered its second-half 2026 Brent crude oil price forecast due to lower-than-expected OECD commercial inventory draws and lower demand for oil. The bank sees Brent averaging $86 per barrel in the third quarter, $80 in the last quarter, and expects to exit 2026 at $78, according to a research …

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Goldman Lowers Oil Price Forecasts on Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

  Goldman Sachs lowered its fourth-quarter Brent crude oil price forecast to $80 from $90 and cut its 2027 average estimate to $75 from $80, after the U.S. and Iran signed a preliminary agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts at the investment bank said in a research note released late on Monday they …

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Morgan Stanley Lowers Brent Oil Price Forecasts After US-Iran Peace Deal

Morgan Stanley has lowered its Brent crude oil price forecast for the fourth quarter of this year by $15 per barrel to $80, after the U.S. and Iran signed a preliminary agreement to end the war in the Gulf. “From here, it likely takes several weeks for tanker flow to be restored; we see 50% …

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