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Oil Faces Uphill Struggle as Supply Glut Worries Mount

Summary Quick Russia-Ukraine ceasefire deal very unlikely, analysts say Global oil demand seen growing between 0.5-1.1 mbpd in 2025 (Reuters) – Oil prices are unlikely to gain much traction from current levels this year as rising output from top producers adds to the risk of a surplus and U.S. tariff threats curb demand growth, a …

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Goldman Keeps Brent Oil Forecast, but Flags Downside Risks to Demand

Goldman Sachs on Sunday reiterated its oil price forecast with Brent averaging $64 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $56 in 2026, but expects an increasing range of risks to its baseline estimates from recent developments.“Increasing pressure on Russia and Iran sanctioned oil supply poses an upside risk to our price forecast, …

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Goldman Sachs Raises Brent Second-Half 2025 Price Forecast by $5 to $66 a Barrel

(Reuters) – Goldman Sachs on Monday raised its Brent oil price forecast for the second half of 2025 by $5 to $66 per barrel due to supply disruption risks, lower stocks in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries and rising concerns about Russia’s production constraints. The bank also increased its forecast for U.S. West …

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OPEC Fortifies Outlier View That Oil Demand Will Grow to 2050

By Grant Smith OPEC reinforced its view — an outlier even within the petroleum industry — that global oil consumption will keep increasing to the middle of the century. Demand will grow by roughly 19% to reach almost 123 million barrels a day by 2050, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in a …

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Barclays Raises Brent Forecast to $72 Per Barrel for 2025

Barclays on Thursday said it raised its Brent oil price forecast by $6 to $72 per barrel for 2025 and by $10 to $70 a barrel for 2026 on an improved outlook for demand. “Geopolitical tensions have eased as the U.S​.-​mediated ceasefire between Israel and Iran continues to hold and the risk premium has evaporated, …

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Oil Futures, Options Trade at Record Levels in Q2 as Investors Navigate Volatility

(Reuters) – Total oil futures and options lots traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) hit record highs in the second quarter, as U.S. President Donald Trump waged a trade war and geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East escalated. WHY IT’S IMPORTANT Significant volatility in the second quarter had global benchmark Brent crude futures dropping to …

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JP Morgan Says Strait of Hormuz Closure Could Trigger a Sustained Oil Price Shock

(Reuters) – JP Morgan believes that a Strait of Hormuz closure would likely trigger a sustained oil price shock that will reverberate through global macro developments, the bank said in a note. It said that in the most extreme case of a broader regional conflagration that includes the closure of Hormuz, it estimates oil prices …

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Citi Sees Oil Prices of $75-$78/bbl if War Disrupts 1.1 mln bpd of Iran’s Oil Exports

June 19 (Reuters) – An escalation of the Iran-Israeli hostilities could keep Brent oil prices trading about 15% to 20% above pre-conflict levels if the war disrupts 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian oil exports, analysts at Citibank said on Thursday. “This implies Brent prices should be in the $75 to $78/bbl range,” …

Citi Sees Oil Prices of $75-$78/bbl if War Disrupts 1.1 mln bpd of Iran’s Oil Exports Read More »

JP Morgan Maintains 2025 Forecast for Oil Prices in Low-to-Mid $60s

JP Morgan downplayed geopolitical concerns on Thursday and maintained its base case forecast for oil prices to stay in the low-to-mid $60s through 2025 and $60 in 2026, but said certain worst-case scenarios could send prices surging to double those levels. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday the United States was moving personnel out …

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Data Centers Prompt US to Boost Power-Usage Forecast by 92%

By Will Wade US data centers are rapidly driving up demand for power, with the official forecast for electricity consumption next year almost doubling in the past month. Total power usage in the US is expected to climb 2.15% in 2026, spurred largely by a 5% spike from commercial users because of the expansion of …

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