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As Oil Glut Fears Mount, OPEC+ Restrains Output Rises for Now

Summary OPEC+ opted for modest hike due to glut concerns, sources say OPEC and non-OPEC supply rising Supply to far exceed demand in 2026 -Reuters poll (Reuters) – OPEC+ oil-producing countries opted for only a modest rise to November output due to concerns about a potential global glut, sources within the group said, as non-OPEC …

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HSBC Sees Downside Risk to 2026 Brent Crude Oil Price Forecast

(Reuters) – HSBC expects a big oil surplus of 1.7 million barrels per day (mbd) from the fourth quarter of 2025, and a surplus of 2.4 mbd in 2026, exacerbated by the return of OPEC+ barrels over the next 12 months, it said in a note on Monday. At its meeting this month, OPEC+ opted …

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Oil Faces Uphill Struggle as Supply Glut Worries Mount

Summary Quick Russia-Ukraine ceasefire deal very unlikely, analysts say Global oil demand seen growing between 0.5-1.1 mbpd in 2025 (Reuters) – Oil prices are unlikely to gain much traction from current levels this year as rising output from top producers adds to the risk of a surplus and U.S. tariff threats curb demand growth, a …

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Goldman Keeps Brent Oil Forecast, but Flags Downside Risks to Demand

Goldman Sachs on Sunday reiterated its oil price forecast with Brent averaging $64 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $56 in 2026, but expects an increasing range of risks to its baseline estimates from recent developments.“Increasing pressure on Russia and Iran sanctioned oil supply poses an upside risk to our price forecast, …

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Goldman Sachs Raises Brent Second-Half 2025 Price Forecast by $5 to $66 a Barrel

(Reuters) – Goldman Sachs on Monday raised its Brent oil price forecast for the second half of 2025 by $5 to $66 per barrel due to supply disruption risks, lower stocks in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries and rising concerns about Russia’s production constraints. The bank also increased its forecast for U.S. West …

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OPEC Fortifies Outlier View That Oil Demand Will Grow to 2050

By Grant Smith OPEC reinforced its view — an outlier even within the petroleum industry — that global oil consumption will keep increasing to the middle of the century. Demand will grow by roughly 19% to reach almost 123 million barrels a day by 2050, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in a …

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Barclays Raises Brent Forecast to $72 Per Barrel for 2025

Barclays on Thursday said it raised its Brent oil price forecast by $6 to $72 per barrel for 2025 and by $10 to $70 a barrel for 2026 on an improved outlook for demand. “Geopolitical tensions have eased as the U.S​.-​mediated ceasefire between Israel and Iran continues to hold and the risk premium has evaporated, …

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Oil Futures, Options Trade at Record Levels in Q2 as Investors Navigate Volatility

(Reuters) – Total oil futures and options lots traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) hit record highs in the second quarter, as U.S. President Donald Trump waged a trade war and geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East escalated. WHY IT’S IMPORTANT Significant volatility in the second quarter had global benchmark Brent crude futures dropping to …

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JP Morgan Says Strait of Hormuz Closure Could Trigger a Sustained Oil Price Shock

(Reuters) – JP Morgan believes that a Strait of Hormuz closure would likely trigger a sustained oil price shock that will reverberate through global macro developments, the bank said in a note. It said that in the most extreme case of a broader regional conflagration that includes the closure of Hormuz, it estimates oil prices …

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Citi Sees Oil Prices of $75-$78/bbl if War Disrupts 1.1 mln bpd of Iran’s Oil Exports

June 19 (Reuters) – An escalation of the Iran-Israeli hostilities could keep Brent oil prices trading about 15% to 20% above pre-conflict levels if the war disrupts 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian oil exports, analysts at Citibank said on Thursday. “This implies Brent prices should be in the $75 to $78/bbl range,” …

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